NEUTRAL
VIX
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Live CFTC

Wheat-Srw - Chicago Board Of Trade

001602
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-12

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+30 pts

Target Exposure

-12%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Wheat-Srw - Chicago Board Of TradeManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max117,375199,125+19,333+24,76510,664+50,74020.4%35.5%612,046
Min81,85595,490-26,008-31,407-110,700-39,16514.1%18.3%482,671
13 Per. Avg102,907114,592-942+1,525-11,684-2,46717.9%19.9%575,556
Jun 2, 202681,855139,726-26,008+13,157-57,871-39,16514.1%24.1%580,385
May 26, 2026107,863126,569-2,825+11,082-18,706-13,90718.5%21.7%584,337
May 19, 2026110,688115,487+9,879-4,345-4,799+14,22418.2%19.0%608,859
May 12, 2026100,809119,832+1,306+10,426-19,023-9,12017.2%20.4%586,697
May 5, 202699,503109,406-6,651+13,916-9,903-20,56718.4%20.2%540,497
Apr 28, 2026106,15495,490+10,931-10,45010,664+21,38120.4%18.3%520,928
Apr 21, 202695,223105,940-7,120-3,669-10,717-3,45117.1%19.0%557,267
Apr 14, 2026102,343109,609-7,048-5,415-7,266-1,63318.1%19.4%565,279
Apr 7, 2026109,391115,024-7,984+6,290-5,633-14,27418.1%19.0%605,755
Mar 31, 2026117,375108,734+7,670-3,2058,641+10,87519.8%18.3%593,425
Mar 24, 2026109,705111,939+8,860-1,608-2,234+10,46818.4%18.8%595,809
Mar 17, 2026100,845113,547+4,803-4,840-12,702+9,64317.4%19.6%580,836
Mar 10, 202696,042118,387+1,941-1,514-22,345+3,45517.1%21.1%562,155
Mar 3, 202694,101119,901-10,726-2,223-25,800-8,50318.3%23.3%515,115
Feb 24, 2026104,827122,124+19,333-31,407-17,297+50,74020.3%23.7%516,198
Feb 17, 202685,494153,531-3,425-21,043-68,037+17,61815.7%28.2%544,127
Feb 10, 202688,919174,574+709+4,609-85,655-3,90015.1%29.6%590,543
Feb 3, 202688,210169,965+486-12,502-81,755+12,98814.4%27.8%612,046
Jan 27, 202687,724182,467+273-15,684-94,743+15,95714.7%30.6%597,251
Jan 20, 202687,451198,151-3,805+666-110,700-4,47114.9%33.9%584,981
Jan 13, 202691,256197,485-704-1,640-106,229+93615.8%34.2%576,837
Jan 6, 202691,960199,125-4,717+7,822-107,165-12,53916.4%35.5%561,426
Dec 30, 202596,677191,303+2,012+4,973-94,626-2,96117.8%35.1%544,590
Dec 23, 202594,665186,330-2,579+22,168-91,665-24,74717.0%33.4%557,480
Dec 16, 202597,244164,162+3,916+24,765-66,918-20,84917.9%30.3%541,890
Dec 9, 202593,328139,397+0+0-46,069+019.3%28.9%482,671

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Jun 2, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 580,385 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

81,855139,726-57,871+14.1%+24.1%-10.0%-39,165

Swap Dealers

101,82615,67786,149+17.5%+2.7%+14.8%-103

Producer Merchant

73,753115,406-41,653+12.7%+19.9%-7.2%+35,166

Other Reportables

37,35126,84010,511+6.4%+4.6%+1.8%+3,610

Nonreportable

44,29741,4332,864+7.6%+7.1%+0.5%+494

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Positioning is drifting back toward balance. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Crowding

Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.

Current positioning

Positioning is drifting back toward balance. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Managed Money is currently net short by 57,871 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro signals are modestly supportive for Wheat-Srw - Chicago Board Of Trade.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Positioning is drifting back toward balance. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.