NEUTRAL
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Live CFTC

Ust Bond - Chicago Board Of Trade

020601
RatesTFF

Signal state

Neutral-2

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+9 pts

Target Exposure

-2%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Ust Bond - Chicago Board Of TradeLeveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max183,697530,021+26,282+62,482-276,999+63,25910.3%28.8%2,036,881
Min82,982445,205-21,689-41,088-415,340-53,6164.6%24.9%1,727,709
13 Per. Avg139,496488,215+3,955+675-348,719+3,2797.6%26.7%1,829,738
Mar 24, 2026172,685470,654-11,012+9,958-297,969-20,9709.6%26.3%1,792,430
Mar 17, 2026183,697460,696+8,818-8,915-276,999+17,73310.3%25.7%1,791,160
Mar 10, 2026174,879469,611+26,282-36,977-294,732+63,2599.7%26.1%1,800,996
Mar 3, 2026148,597506,588+15,845-11,674-357,991+27,5198.1%27.6%1,835,511
Feb 24, 2026132,752518,262-10,782-11,759-385,510+9776.5%25.4%2,036,881
Feb 17, 2026143,534530,021+8,866+62,482-386,487-53,6167.8%28.8%1,837,592
Feb 10, 2026134,668467,539+9,117+12,615-332,871-3,4987.6%26.6%1,760,556
Feb 3, 2026125,551454,924+2,850-41,088-329,373+43,9387.3%26.3%1,727,709
Jan 27, 2026122,701496,012+3,502-10,204-373,311+13,7066.7%27.0%1,835,009
Jan 20, 2026119,199506,216+12,715+1,870-387,017+10,8456.5%27.6%1,832,790
Jan 13, 2026106,484504,346-17,048+7,283-397,862-24,3315.9%27.8%1,815,614
Jan 6, 2026123,532497,063-1,636+32,201-373,531-33,8376.6%26.6%1,871,364
Dec 30, 2025125,168464,862+3,896+2,989-339,694+9076.8%25.1%1,848,982
Dec 23, 2025121,272461,873+15,263-6,871-340,601+22,1346.6%24.9%1,852,267
Dec 16, 2025106,009468,744+23,027+23,539-362,735-5125.7%25.1%1,864,082
Dec 9, 202582,982445,205-21,689-28,372-362,223+6,6834.6%24.9%1,787,424
Dec 2, 2025104,671473,577+952-9,498-368,906+10,4505.7%25.7%1,842,126
Nov 25, 2025103,719483,075+1,300-34,684-379,356+35,9845.4%25.1%1,921,638
Nov 18, 2025102,419517,759-15,908+26,638-415,340-42,5465.4%27.5%1,885,138
Nov 10, 2025118,327491,121-6,439-18,789-372,794+12,3506.3%26.1%1,880,849
Nov 4, 2025124,766509,910+1,324+12,567-385,144-11,2436.6%26.8%1,901,363
Oct 28, 2025123,442497,343+2,598-17,596-373,901+20,1946.5%26.0%1,910,303
Oct 21, 2025120,844514,939+5,108+13,793-394,095-8,6856.3%26.9%1,916,989
Oct 14, 2025115,736501,146+7,167+6,539-385,410+6286.1%26.5%1,888,548
Oct 7, 2025108,569494,607+10,933+30,722-386,038-19,7895.8%26.2%1,888,082
Sep 30, 202597,636463,885+0+0-366,249+05.3%25.1%1,844,283

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 1,792,430 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

172,685470,654-297,969+9.6%+26.3%-16.6%-20,970

Asset Manager

1,060,972586,204474,768+59.2%+32.7%+26.5%+40,431

Dealer Intermediary

21,668259,857-238,189+1.2%+14.5%-13.3%-2,834

Nonreportable

231,398140,43090,968+12.9%+7.8%+5.1%-17,651

Other Reportables

70,06299,640-29,578+3.9%+5.6%-1.7%+1,024

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Positioning is neutral this week. This week's COT print is less bullish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.

Current positioning

Positioning is neutral this week. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 297,969 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Ust Bond - Chicago Board Of Trade.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Positioning is neutral this week. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.