NEUTRAL
VIX
--:--:--UTC
Live CFTC

Msci Eafe - Ice Futures U.S.

244041
RatesTFF

Signal state

Bearish-32

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-32%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Msci Eafe - Ice Futures U.S.Leveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max54,94661,011+9,107+15,69514,028+23,88112.9%14.2%578,222
Min30,71632,598-14,175-14,774-22,512-18,4717.0%6.9%395,552
13 Per. Avg45,49650,076-174+1,761-4,580-1,93410.6%11.6%432,510
Mar 24, 202638,49961,011-1,765+102-22,512-1,8678.4%13.3%458,467
Mar 17, 202640,26460,909-507+15,695-20,645-16,2027.0%10.5%578,222
Mar 10, 202640,77145,214-14,175+4,296-4,443-18,4719.6%10.6%426,698
Mar 3, 202654,94640,918+9,107-14,77414,028+23,88112.9%9.6%424,533
Feb 24, 202645,83955,692+4,195+11,133-9,853-6,93810.8%13.1%424,108
Feb 17, 202641,64444,559+1,422+7,925-2,915-6,50310.2%10.9%408,622
Feb 10, 202640,22236,634-12,942-7,2693,588-5,67310.2%9.3%395,552
Feb 3, 202653,16443,903+2,885-6,3069,261+9,19112.9%10.6%412,849
Jan 27, 202650,27950,209-635-10,47570+9,84011.9%11.8%423,671
Jan 20, 202650,91460,684+3,846+8,803-9,770-4,95711.9%14.2%428,290
Jan 13, 202647,06851,881+199-274-4,813+47311.4%12.6%411,543
Jan 6, 202646,86952,155+5,897+4,939-5,286+95811.3%12.6%413,528
Dec 30, 202540,97247,216+216+9,096-6,244-8,8809.8%11.3%416,544
Dec 23, 202540,75638,120+1,945+1,6762,636+26910.0%9.4%407,443
Dec 16, 202538,81136,444+1,933-2,4002,367+4,3337.3%6.9%531,007
Dec 9, 202536,87838,844+2,007-5,784-1,966+7,7918.2%8.6%448,873
Dec 2, 202534,87144,628+2,796+2,802-9,757-67.8%10.0%444,636
Nov 25, 202532,07541,826-4,172+9,228-9,751-13,4007.3%9.5%440,507
Nov 18, 202536,24732,598+5,531-4,9613,649+10,4928.3%7.5%434,668
Nov 10, 202530,71637,559-2,879-1,411-6,843-1,4687.1%8.7%431,967
Nov 4, 202533,59538,970-3,111-4,936-5,375+1,8257.6%8.9%439,211
Oct 28, 202536,70643,906-665+2,940-7,200-3,6058.3%10.0%439,800
Oct 21, 202537,37140,966+1,805+1,702-3,595+1038.4%9.2%443,374
Oct 14, 202535,56639,264-1,746+1,575-3,698-3,3217.9%8.7%449,070
Oct 7, 202537,31237,689+2,442+957-377+1,4858.3%8.4%447,238
Sep 30, 202534,87036,732+0+0-1,862+07.8%8.2%447,038

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 458,467 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

38,49961,011-22,512+8.4%+13.3%-4.9%-1,867

Asset Manager

318,46360,467257,996+69.5%+13.2%+56.3%+15,280

Dealer Intermediary

28,330270,559-242,229+6.2%+59.0%-52.8%-12,503

Nonreportable

13,7855,7268,059+3.0%+1.3%+1.8%-910

Other Reportables

2421,556-1,314+0.1%+0.3%-0.3%+0

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish positioning is building. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme.

Current positioning

Bearish positioning is building. Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 22,512 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Msci Eafe - Ice Futures U.S..

Replay summary

Constructive bearish regime. Bearish positioning is building. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.