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Live CFTC

Ercot North 345Kv Hub Rt 7X8 - Ice Futures Energy Div

0643IK
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Bullish+29

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+9 pts

Target Exposure

+29%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Ercot North 345Kv Hub Rt 7X8 - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max94,1402,693+5,125+51591,585+4,78644.7%1.2%218,874
Min73,0291,240-4,500-52470,964-3,97634.3%0.6%207,547
13 Per. Avg86,1942,398+1,479+183,795+1,47840.4%1.1%213,293
Mar 24, 202693,1692,423+1,105-16090,746+1,26543.7%1.1%213,241
Mar 17, 202692,0642,583-2,076+2889,481-2,10443.6%1.2%210,904
Mar 10, 202694,1402,555+2,155+5791,585+2,09844.7%1.2%210,471
Mar 3, 202691,9852,498+2,625+24589,487+2,38042.5%1.1%216,417
Feb 24, 202689,3602,253+570+3887,107+53241.9%1.1%213,020
Feb 17, 202688,7902,215+1,087-13286,575+1,21941.9%1.1%211,688
Feb 10, 202687,7032,347+195+15685,356+3941.6%1.1%210,970
Feb 3, 202687,5082,191+4,040-50285,317+4,54240.1%1.0%218,173
Jan 27, 202683,4682,693-581+11980,775-70038.6%1.2%216,366
Jan 20, 202684,0492,574+5,125+33981,475+4,78638.9%1.2%216,251
Jan 13, 202678,9242,235+3,343+1776,689+3,32637.1%1.1%212,532
Jan 6, 202675,5812,218+1,806-17473,363+1,98035.6%1.0%212,282
Dec 30, 202573,7752,392-163-1671,383-14735.0%1.1%210,500
Dec 23, 202573,9382,408+263+19871,530+6535.2%1.1%210,162
Dec 16, 202573,6752,210+646+14571,465+50135.3%1.1%208,699
Dec 9, 202573,0292,065-4,500-52470,964-3,97635.2%1.0%207,547
Dec 2, 202577,5292,589-3,876-2874,940-3,84836.1%1.2%214,842
Nov 25, 202581,4052,617+2,395+678,788+2,38937.5%1.2%217,396
Nov 18, 202579,0102,611+1,676+44876,399+1,22836.3%1.2%217,843
Nov 10, 202577,3342,163+363-7575,171+43835.9%1.0%215,651
Nov 4, 202576,9712,238-2,275+35674,733-2,63135.2%1.0%218,657
Oct 28, 202579,2461,882-84+51577,364-59936.2%0.9%218,874
Oct 21, 202579,3301,367+619+6277,963+55736.5%0.6%217,346
Oct 14, 202578,7111,305+502+4077,406+46236.9%0.6%213,051
Oct 7, 202578,2091,265+3,712+2576,944+3,68735.9%0.6%217,821
Sep 30, 202574,4971,240+0+073,257+034.3%0.6%217,134

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 213,241 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

93,1692,42390,746+43.7%+1.1%+42.6%+1,265

Producer Merchant

80,057138,633-58,576+37.5%+65.0%-27.5%-1,859

Swap Dealers

042,660-42,660+0.0%+20.0%-20.0%+416

Other Reportables

13,9914,0789,913+6.6%+1.9%+4.7%-64

Nonreportable

762185577+0.4%+0.1%+0.3%+242

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bullish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded long.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bullish. Traders are heavily crowded long. Managed Money is currently net long by 90,746 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Ercot North 345Kv Hub Rt 7X8 - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Constructive bullish regime. The market is leaning bullish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.