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Live CFTC

Calif Carbon All Vintage 2026 - Ice Futures Energy Div

0063EE
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Bullish+28

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+9 pts

Target Exposure

+28%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Calif Carbon All Vintage 2026 - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max110,22224,382+18,034+3,68197,118+15,73449.8%12.9%249,473
Min37,2988,767-6,317-2,38526,367-7,41841.8%5.8%88,932
13 Per. Avg106,56218,361+221+62988,201-40945.3%7.7%235,992
Mar 24, 2026109,36024,382+1,103+1,04584,978+5844.7%10.0%244,668
Mar 17, 2026108,25723,337+1,818+92984,920+88944.8%9.7%241,868
Mar 10, 2026106,43922,408+395+1,30784,031-91242.7%9.0%249,473
Mar 3, 2026106,04421,101+1,379+10984,943+1,27043.5%8.7%243,501
Feb 24, 2026104,66520,992-132+61583,673-74742.1%8.5%248,367
Feb 17, 2026104,79720,377-147+2,07484,420-2,22143.3%8.4%242,213
Feb 10, 2026104,94418,303+775+1,92686,641-1,15144.2%7.7%237,456
Feb 3, 2026104,16916,377+1,953+1,53187,792+42245.1%7.1%230,961
Jan 27, 2026102,21614,846-6,317+1,10187,370-7,41842.8%6.2%238,974
Jan 20, 2026108,53313,745-1,689+64194,788-2,33047.3%6.0%229,617
Jan 13, 2026110,22213,104+2,017-75197,118+2,76848.5%5.8%227,447
Jan 6, 2026108,20513,855+749-2,01094,350+2,75949.7%6.4%217,763
Dec 30, 2025107,45615,865+963-33491,591+1,29749.8%7.4%215,593
Dec 23, 2025106,49316,199+8,246+49190,294+7,75549.0%7.5%217,134
Dec 16, 202598,24715,708+14,404+96082,539+13,44448.7%7.8%201,712
Dec 9, 202583,84314,748+6,823+3,68169,095+3,14248.0%8.5%174,561
Dec 2, 202577,02011,067+18,034+2,30065,953+15,73448.0%6.9%160,534
Nov 25, 202558,9868,767+6,978-2,38550,219+9,36343.2%6.4%136,646
Nov 18, 202552,00811,152+2,931-1,39740,856+4,32841.8%9.0%124,494
Nov 10, 202549,07712,549+3,617+63636,528+2,98143.0%11.0%114,145
Nov 4, 202545,46011,913+1,260-55433,547+1,81442.7%11.2%106,371
Oct 28, 202544,20012,467+604+3531,733+56944.0%12.4%100,537
Oct 21, 202543,59612,432+1,354+1331,164+1,34143.5%12.4%100,155
Oct 14, 202542,24212,419+1,327+21129,823+1,11643.5%12.8%97,058
Oct 7, 202540,91512,208+3,617+1,27728,707+2,34043.1%12.9%94,945
Sep 30, 202537,29810,931+0+026,367+041.9%12.3%88,932

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 244,668 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

109,36024,38284,978+44.7%+10.0%+34.7%+58

Swap Dealers

8,50383,663-75,160+3.5%+34.2%-30.7%-603

Producer Merchant

41,70050,523-8,823+17.0%+20.6%-3.6%+2,578

Other Reportables

31,77632,783-1,007+13.0%+13.4%-0.4%-2,018

Nonreportable

1079512+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%-15

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bullish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bullish. Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising. Managed Money is currently net long by 84,978 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Calif Carbon All Vintage 2026 - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Constructive bullish regime. The market is leaning bullish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.